BMO predicts a holly, jolly holiday spending season

A BMO holiday outlook suggests Canadians’ spending spirits have improved this season, with the bank projecting an average 15% jump in holiday spending over last Christmas. The Bank of Montreal’s 2012 Holiday Spending Outlook finds that survey respondents plan to spend an average of $1,610 this holiday season, up from $1,397 in 2011. Shoppers surveyed […]

A BMO holiday outlook suggests Canadians’ spending spirits have improved this season, with the bank projecting an average 15% jump in holiday spending over last Christmas.

The Bank of Montreal’s 2012 Holiday Spending Outlook finds that survey respondents plan to spend an average of $1,610 this holiday season, up from $1,397 in 2011.

Shoppers surveyed say they plan to shell out an average of $674 for gifts this year, compared to an average of $583 last year.

The top reasons for spending more are having more people to shop for, and being better off financially.

Spending on trips is also projected to increase, while amounts allocated for entertaining were expected to fall from a year ago.

Other analysts weighing in on holiday spending this year also believe Canadians will be more generous with their finances.

A report released last week by Ernst & Young predicted Canadian holiday sales would rise 3.5% over last year, supported by signs of improvement in consumer confidence.

And a study from Deloitte projected Canadians will spend 1% to 2% more this holiday season, but an increasing number will check for the best prices online before they head to the mall in a season it expects to be highly price competitive.

Last year, sales were restrained by high household debt, modest wage growth and turbulent global markets. But the economy has improved slightly since then and consumers appear more willing to open their wallets.

Another boost to holiday sales this year could come from new sales pitches by toy makers, suggested Gerrick Johnson, a toy analyst with BMO Capital Markets.

“Consumers this year will benefit from a number of new tactics that retailers have implemented: hot toy reservation systems, more aggressive price match programs, same-day online delivery, and earlier and cheaper layaway,” said Johnson.

“These moves should help toy sales by making more expensive items more accessible, making all items easier to buy. They are also likely to entice earlier sales, which should help lift toy sales throughout the holiday season.”

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